The read for tonight has be that the Buffalo Bills figure things out and pummel this weak Denver Broncos defense. You can consider Denver TD scorers all you want, but to us, the only way forward is with some Buffalo props in this market.
As always, we'd recommend a half-unit at most for these props.
Denver has been unable to slow down opposing tight ends this season. They've allowed the fourth-most receptions per game to the position, the most yards/game, and the 11th-most touchdowns.
Kincaid is the clear TE1 in Buffalo, seeing some elite work since Dawson Knox went down. In this three-game stretch, Kincaid has seen 26 targets, four of which have come in the red zone.
Kincaid has one touchdown on the season but has shown an explosive ability in this offense. He should have his chances to score tonight.
If you expect Buffalo to score tonight, there are not too many options more reliable than QB Josh Allen rushing one in with his legs.
Allen has six touchdowns in his last seven games, and he's found paydirt in three of his last four home games. Allen's rushing is always a part of his game, as Buffalo's quarterback has 7+ rushing attempts in three straight games, six of which have come in the red zone.
Denver is allowing the most yards per carry this season, so it's possible for Allen to cash this both in-close or on a long scamper.
Follow Griffin Carroll at griffybets.substack.com for data, trends and targets for every NFL game, plus all the off-season news you can use.
More must-reads:
Bark Bets is Yardbarker's free daily guide to the world of sports betting. You'll get:
Subscribe now!